Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008684 0.010213 0.012050 0.014455 0.017575 0.021569 0.027206
2025-09-28 0.006927 0.008808 0.011341 0.015133 0.020925 0.029933 0.046209
2025-10-05 0.006169 0.008288 0.011389 0.016540 0.025550 0.042315 0.081514
2025-10-12 0.005486 0.007664 0.011050 0.017138 0.029027 0.054927 0.133388
2025-10-19 0.004830 0.006936 0.010352 0.016866 0.030719 0.065132 0.198261
2025-10-26 0.004392 0.006466 0.009965 0.017019 0.033342 0.079915 0.322007
2025-11-02 0.003977 0.005965 0.009425 0.016709 0.034769 0.092907 0.500041
2025-11-09 0.003543 0.005377 0.008631 0.015676 0.033957 0.097948 0.665470
2025-11-16 0.003204 0.004916 0.008006 0.014875 0.033486 0.104289 0.922897
2025-11-23 0.003024 0.004713 0.007842 0.015071 0.035999 0.127027 1.887117
2025-11-30 0.002816 0.004437 0.007494 0.014757 0.036838 0.143481 3.587852
2025-12-07 0.002608 0.004142 0.007074 0.014185 0.036617 0.154310 6.516254
2025-12-14 0.002451 0.003944 0.006861 0.014184 0.038799 0.188974 33.803354
2025-12-21 0.002361 0.003864 0.006889 0.014844 0.044063 0.268764 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002328 0.003889 0.007142 0.016212 0.053648 0.462101 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002241 0.003798 0.007124 0.016794 0.060387 0.709231 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002113 0.003610 0.006856 0.016529 0.062560 0.912609 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002021 0.003488 0.006725 0.016678 0.067476 1.354614 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001913 0.003325 0.006478 0.016377 0.069429 1.799055 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001781 0.003100 0.006053 0.015372 0.065902 1.823585 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001670 0.002913 0.005708 0.014591 0.063588 1.943985 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001614 0.002840 0.005639 0.014782 0.068682 3.254289 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001540 0.002722 0.005445 0.014477 0.069789 4.442958 NaN